Tropical Storm FLORENCE Advisory Sun Sep 16

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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  64
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MYRTLE BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND... INCLUDING THE NEUSE AND PAMLICO RIVERS

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO OCRACOKE INLET NORTH CAROLINA
* PAMLICO SOUND

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE SOUTHEASTERN AND MID-ATLANTIC STATES
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF FLORENCE.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 255 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 100SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.6N  79.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.7N  79.3W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 33.6N  80.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...130NE 130SE  70SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 33.9N  81.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 35.1N  82.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 37.0N  83.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 40.5N  80.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 43.5N  68.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 47.0N  54.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.6N  79.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



  

Storm tracks Sat Sep 15

World
Atlantic Ocean
Pacific (East)
Pacific (West)
Hurricane Archive
September
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2018