Tropical Storm HARVEY Advisory Thu Aug 31

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0900 UTC WED AUG 30 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

STENNIS MS     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

JACKSON MS     34  1   4( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

NEW ORLEANS LA 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  8   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34 19  14(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

LAFAYETTE LA   34 33   4(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)   X(37)

NEW IBERIA LA  34 24   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FORT POLK LA   34 27   3(30)   1(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)

LAKE CHARLES   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CAMERON LA     34 60   6(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)   X(66)

JASPER TX      34 10   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

KOUNTZE TX     34  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GALVESTON TX   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG