Tropical Storm FLORENCE Advisory Fri Sep 14
ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 56
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062018
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2018
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
BALTIMORE MD 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 1( 5)
DOVER DE 34 X 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 1( 4)
ANNAPOLIS MD 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 1( 8)
WASHINGTON DC 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) 1(11)
CAPE HENLOPEN 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
OCEAN CITY MD 34 3 5( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 1(13)
PAX RIVER NAS 34 2 4( 6) 6(12) 2(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16)
WALLOPS CDA 34 3 4( 7) 5(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) 1(15)
CHARLOTTESVIL 34 2 5( 7) 9(16) 3(19) 1(20) 1(21) 1(22)
RICHMOND VA 34 3 8(11) 14(25) 3(28) 1(29) X(29) 1(30)
DANVILLE VA 34 2 15(17) 28(45) 5(50) 2(52) 1(53) X(53)
DANVILLE VA 50 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NORFOLK NAS 34 4 13(17) 16(33) 3(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38)
NORFOLK VA 34 4 16(20) 16(36) 3(39) 1(40) X(40) 1(41)
NORFOLK VA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
OCEANA NAS VA 34 5 16(21) 15(36) 3(39) 1(40) X(40) 1(41)
OCEANA NAS VA 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 1( 3)
ELIZABETH CTY 34 18 30(48) 9(57) 3(60) 1(61) X(61) X(61)
ELIZABETH CTY 50 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GREENSBORO NC 34 2 16(18) 33(51) 6(57) 4(61) X(61) X(61)
GREENSBORO NC 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10)
RALEIGH NC 34 4 41(45) 28(73) 4(77) 2(79) X(79) X(79)
RALEIGH NC 50 X 4( 4) 12(16) 2(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19)
RALEIGH NC 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
ROCKY MT NC 34 9 56(65) 14(79) 3(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83)
ROCKY MT NC 50 1 7( 8) 12(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
ROCKY MT NC 64 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
CAPE HATTERAS 34 88 5(93) 1(94) X(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95)
CAPE HATTERAS 50 28 10(38) 1(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) X(40)
CAPE HATTERAS 64 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
FAYETTEVILLE 34 6 70(76) 18(94) 1(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96)
FAYETTEVILLE 50 1 18(19) 44(63) 5(68) 2(70) X(70) X(70)
FAYETTEVILLE 64 X 2( 2) 25(27) 2(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30)
CHARLOTTE NC 34 2 9(11) 32(43) 11(54) 7(61) 2(63) X(63)
CHARLOTTE NC 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12)
CHARLOTTE NC 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CHERRY PT NC 34 92 7(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
CHERRY PT NC 50 22 61(83) 3(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87)
CHERRY PT NC 64 3 37(40) 5(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46)
NEW RIVER NC 34 97 3(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NEW RIVER NC 50 76 19(95) 1(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
NEW RIVER NC 64 30 41(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72)
MOREHEAD CITY 34 95 5(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY 50 68 28(96) 1(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
MOREHEAD CITY 64 22 56(78) 1(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
SURF CITY NC 34 88 12(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SURF CITY NC 50 13 81(94) 3(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
SURF CITY NC 64 2 68(70) 10(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80)
WILMINGTON NC 34 75 24(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
WILMINGTON NC 50 5 82(87) 7(94) 1(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
WILMINGTON NC 64 X 55(55) 18(73) 1(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75)
BALD HEAD ISL 34 79 20(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BALD HEAD ISL 50 11 75(86) 6(92) X(92) X(92) 1(93) X(93)
BALD HEAD ISL 64 2 57(59) 11(70) 1(71) 1(72) X(72) X(72)
FLORENCE SC 34 3 39(42) 40(82) 7(89) 3(92) X(92) X(92)
FLORENCE SC 50 X 4( 4) 32(36) 13(49) 6(55) X(55) X(55)
FLORENCE SC 64 X X( X) 11(11) 8(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20)
COLUMBIA SC 34 2 9(11) 34(45) 13(58) 10(68) 2(70) X(70)
COLUMBIA SC 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 6(12) 7(19) 1(20) X(20)
COLUMBIA SC 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LITTLE RIVER 34 22 66(88) 8(96) 1(97) X(97) 1(98) X(98)
LITTLE RIVER 50 2 37(39) 35(74) 4(78) 1(79) X(79) X(79)
LITTLE RIVER 64 X 8( 8) 34(42) 4(46) 2(48) X(48) X(48)
MYRTLE BEACH 34 28 57(85) 10(95) 1(96) X(96) 1(97) X(97)
MYRTLE BEACH 50 2 28(30) 33(63) 4(67) 2(69) X(69) X(69)
MYRTLE BEACH 64 X 6( 6) 23(29) 7(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39)
GEORGETOWN SC 34 4 42(46) 34(80) 5(85) 3(88) X(88) X(88)
GEORGETOWN SC 50 1 3( 4) 23(27) 11(38) 6(44) X(44) X(44)
GEORGETOWN SC 64 X X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 3(16) X(16) X(16)
CHARLESTON SC 34 3 10(13) 34(47) 13(60) 6(66) 1(67) X(67)
CHARLESTON SC 50 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 8(14) 7(21) 1(22) X(22)
CHARLESTON SC 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 4( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
BEAUFORT MCAS 34 2 5( 7) 18(25) 11(36) 9(45) 2(47) X(47)
BEAUFORT MCAS 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) X(10)
BEAUFORT MCAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
ATLANTA GA 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) 4(11) 4(15) X(15)
AUGUSTA GA 34 1 4( 5) 13(18) 11(29) 11(40) 3(43) 1(44)
AUGUSTA GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) 1( 7)
SAVANNAH GA 34 2 3( 5) 10(15) 8(23) 8(31) 1(32) X(32)
SAVANNAH GA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
SAVANNAH GA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2)
KINGS BAY GA 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) 5(15) X(15) X(15)
WAYCROSS GA 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 5(14) X(14) 1(15)
MAYPORT NS FL 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) 4(15) 1(16) X(16)
JACKSONVILLE 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12)
GAINESVILLE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
DAYTONA BEACH 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
ST MARKS FL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
COLUMBUS GA 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN
Hurricane Archive
Maps Atlantic Ocean
- Atlantic (North)
- Precipitation
- Streamlines 10m
- Streamlines 500 hPa
- Central America
- Precipitation
- Streamlines 10m
- Streamlines 500 hPa
Archive 2018
