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Tropical Storm HUMBERTO Advisory Sun Sep 15

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092019
0900 UTC SAT SEP 14 2019

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HUMBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 76.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ELIZABETH CTY  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   5(15)   1(16)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHERRY PT NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  10(14)   5(19)   1(20)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  10(14)   5(19)   X(19)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)  12(22)   2(24)   X(24)

FLORENCE SC    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LITTLE RIVER   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   9(18)   2(20)   X(20)

GEORGETOWN SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

CHARLESTON SC  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

SAVANNAH GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

KINGS BAY GA   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WAYCROSS GA    34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MAYPORT NS FL  34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   7(16)   4(20)   1(21)   X(21)

JACKSONVILLE   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GAINESVILLE FL 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   3(10)   X(10)   X(10)

THE VILLAGES   34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  1   5( 6)  12(18)   8(26)   4(30)   1(31)   X(31)
COCOA BEACH FL 50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PATRICK AFB    34  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   4( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)

FT PIERCE FL   34  1   5( 6)  11(17)   7(24)   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)
FT PIERCE FL   50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

W PALM BEACH   34  1   3( 4)   7(11)   6(17)   3(20)   X(20)   X(20)

FT LAUDERDALE  34  1   2( 3)   5( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)

MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

HOMESTEAD ARB  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MARATHON FL    34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TAMPA FL       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CEDAR KEY FL   34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  39(46)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  9  10(19)  11(30)   7(37)   4(41)   X(41)   X(41)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NEW PROVIDENCE 34  5   2( 7)   4(11)   4(15)   2(17)   1(18)   X(18)

ANDROS         34  1   1( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

GREAT EXUMA    34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN SALVADOR   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN