Tropical Storm BRET Advisory Tue Jun 20

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022017
0900 UTC MON JUN 19 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 8.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 54.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

BARBADOS       34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GRENADA        34  X  12(12)  12(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)

TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X  36(36)   4(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)

PORT OF SPAIN  34  X  38(38)   8(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
PORT OF SPAIN  50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

JUANGRIEGO     34  X   1( 1)  24(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
JUANGRIEGO     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH