Tropical Storm BERYL Advisory Sat Jul 07

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022018
0900 UTC FRI JUL 06 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  31(31)   X(31)   X(31)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)   X(14)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  38(38)   X(38)   X(38)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  30(30)   X(30)   X(30)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
MARTINIQUE     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   X(12)   X(12)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

BARBADOS       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$
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