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Tropical Storm BERYL Advisory Sun Jul 08

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM BERYL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022018
1500 UTC SAT JUL 07 2018

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERYL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 51.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

LES CAYES      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   X(21)   X(21)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)   X(15)

PONCE PR       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)

AGUADILLA PR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)

SAN JUAN PR    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  17(20)   X(20)   X(20)
VIEQUES PR     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  12(15)   X(15)   X(15)

SAINT CROIX    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  19(25)   X(25)   X(25)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  18(19)   2(21)   X(21)   X(21)

BARBUDA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)

ANTIGUA        34  X   X( X)   2( 2)  16(18)   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)

GUADELOUPE     34  X   X( X)   4( 4)  32(36)   1(37)   X(37)   X(37)
GUADELOUPE     50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

AVES           34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  28(29)   6(35)   X(35)   X(35)
AVES           50  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

DOMINICA       34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  39(46)   X(46)   X(46)   X(46)
DOMINICA       50  X   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
DOMINICA       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

MARTINIQUE     34  X   X( X)  11(11)  22(33)   1(34)   X(34)   X(34)
MARTINIQUE     50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

SAINT LUCIA    34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
SAINT LUCIA    50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BARBADOS       34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG