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Tropical Storm FLORENCE Advisory Sun Sep 16

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  64
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062018
0900 UTC SAT SEP 15 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

DANVILLE VA    34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

GREENSBORO NC  34  3   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

RALEIGH NC     34  5   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ROCKY MT NC    34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FAYETTEVILLE   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CHARLOTTE NC   34  7   6(13)   6(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)

CHERRY PT NC   34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  2   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SURF CITY NC   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

BALD HEAD ISL  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FLORENCE SC    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
FLORENCE SC    50 11   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

COLUMBIA SC    34 32  21(53)   1(54)   1(55)   X(55)   X(55)   X(55)
COLUMBIA SC    50  3   3( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

LITTLE RIVER   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LITTLE RIVER   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MYRTLE BEACH   50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

GEORGETOWN SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
GEORGETOWN SC  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CHARLESTON SC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CHARLESTON SC  50  7   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BEAUFORT MCAS  34 24   3(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)

AUGUSTA GA     34  8  10(18)   3(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

SAVANNAH GA    34  6   1( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH