Tropical Storm FERNAND Advisory Wed Sep 04

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072019
1500 UTC TUE SEP 03 2019

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 94.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GFMX 270N 960W 34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

MCALLEN TX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

HARLINGEN TX   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   2(14)   X(14)   X(14)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  1   7( 8)   8(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

LA PESCA MX    34  X   2( 2)  10(12)   9(21)   1(22)   X(22)   X(22)
LA PESCA MX    50  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TAMPICO MX     34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
FORECASTER BEVEN