Tropical Storm GERT Advisory Mon Aug 14

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082017
0900 UTC SUN AUG 13 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   6(10)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   X(10)   X(10)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECASTER STEWART