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Tropical Storm HARVEY Advisory Sun Aug 27

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE HARVEY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  24
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092017
0900 UTC SAT AUG 26 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HARVEY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
28.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 97.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

GFMX 280N 910W 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

BATON ROUGE LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

MORGAN CITY LA 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

ALEXANDRIA LA  34  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)

LAFAYETTE LA   34  1   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)

NEW IBERIA LA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)

GFMX 280N 930W 34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   3(10)   1(11)

SHREVEPORT LA  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)

FORT POLK LA   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)

LAKE CHARLES   34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   2( 6)   4(10)   1(11)

CAMERON LA     34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   2(13)

JASPER TX      34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   4(11)   1(12)

KOUNTZE TX     34  2   1( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   4(10)   4(14)   2(16)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)   4(13)   2(15)

GALVESTON TX   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   3(12)   5(17)   6(23)   2(25)

HOUSTON TX     34 12   4(16)   5(21)   4(25)   4(29)   4(33)   2(35)
HOUSTON TX     50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

AUSTIN TX      34 19  22(41)  11(52)   3(55)   2(57)   1(58)   1(59)
AUSTIN TX      50  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)

SAN ANTONIO TX 34 35  22(57)  15(72)   3(75)   1(76)   2(78)   X(78)
SAN ANTONIO TX 50  2   9(11)   4(15)   1(16)   X(16)   1(17)   1(18)
SAN ANTONIO TX 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

FREEPORT TX    34 27   4(31)   5(36)   5(41)   4(45)   4(49)   1(50)
FREEPORT TX    50  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  3   2( 5)   4( 9)   4(13)   6(19)   5(24)   2(26)
GFMX 280N 950W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   2( 7)   5(12)   5(17)   1(18)

MATAGORDA TX   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MATAGORDA TX   50  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)
MATAGORDA TX   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

PORT O CONNOR  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PORT O CONNOR  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PORT O CONNOR  64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

ROCKPORT TX    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ROCKPORT TX    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ROCKPORT TX    64 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

CORPUS CHRISTI 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CORPUS CHRISTI 50  9   2(11)   3(14)   4(18)   1(19)   1(20)   X(20)
CORPUS CHRISTI 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

GFMX 270N 960W 34  3   2( 5)   5(10)   7(17)   7(24)   3(27)   1(28)
GFMX 270N 960W 50  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

MCALLEN TX     34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   4(10)   5(15)   2(17)   2(19)

HARLINGEN TX   34  1   2( 3)   3( 6)   4(10)   5(15)   3(18)   1(19)

BROWNSVILLE TX 34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   3( 8)   5(13)   2(15)   1(16)

GFMX 250N 960W 34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)

LA PESCA MX    34  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG