Tropical Storm ISAAC Advisory Fri Sep 14

ZCZC MIAPWSAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092018
0900 UTC THU SEP 13 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ISAAC WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)

KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)

PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAPE BEATA     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   5(10)   1(11)   X(11)

VIEQUES PR     34  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAINT THOMAS   34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT CROIX    34  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

SAINT MAARTEN  34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  9   8(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

BARBUDA        34  8   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

ANTIGUA        34 20   2(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)   X(22)

GUADELOUPE     34 63   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)   X(63)

AVES           34  5  44(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)

DOMINICA       34 34   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)

MARTINIQUE     34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY
FORECASTER ZELINSKY