Tropical Storm JOSE Advisory Tue Sep 19

ZCZC MIAPWSAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE JOSE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  52
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
0900 UTC MON SEP 18 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.0
NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS
...85 MPH...140 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   3( 9)   2(11)

ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)

BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)

AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)   1( 9)

PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   2(15)

CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   6(11)   3(14)   1(15)

PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   7(14)   4(18)   3(21)

WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   8(19)   5(24)   1(25)

SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   7(18)   4(22)   1(23)

BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)   9(21)   6(27)   2(29)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  15(23)  15(38)   8(46)   2(48)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   1( 2)

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)  11(11)  20(31)  16(47)   8(55)   2(57)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)   4(14)   X(14)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)  13(20)  12(32)   6(38)   2(40)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   1( 5)

BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   9(18)   6(24)   4(28)   2(30)

NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   X( X)   8( 8)  10(18)   7(25)   4(29)   1(30)

HARTFORD CT    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   8(14)   7(21)   4(25)   2(27)

NEW LONDON CT  34  X   X( X)   9( 9)  13(22)   9(31)   6(37)   2(39)
NEW LONDON CT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)   1(11)

POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)   5(14)   3(17)   1(18)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   1( 1)  11(12)  15(27)  10(37)   6(43)   2(45)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)   1( 6)

ISLIP NY       34  X   1( 1)  10(11)  11(22)   6(28)   4(32)   2(34)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X   1( 1)   9(10)   8(18)   6(24)   3(27)   2(29)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X   1( 1)   8( 9)   6(15)   6(21)   3(24)   1(25)

NEWARK NJ      34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)   5(19)   3(22)   2(24)

TRENTON NJ     34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   6(14)   4(18)   2(20)   2(22)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  X   2( 2)   9(11)   7(18)   5(23)   3(26)   1(27)

ALLENTOWN PA   34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   2(13)   1(14)

PHILADELPHIA   34  X   2( 2)   7( 9)   4(13)   4(17)   3(20)   1(21)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  X   5( 5)   7(12)   7(19)   3(22)   3(25)   2(27)

BALTIMORE MD   34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)

DOVER DE       34  X   4( 4)   6(10)   4(14)   3(17)   2(19)   1(20)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   1(11)

WASHINGTON DC  34  X   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  X   6( 6)   7(13)   5(18)   3(21)   2(23)   2(25)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  1   6( 7)   8(15)   4(19)   2(21)   3(24)   1(25)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  X   4( 4)   4( 8)   2(10)   1(11)   1(12)   2(14)

WALLOPS CDA    34  1   6( 7)   6(13)   3(16)   2(18)   2(20)   2(22)

RICHMOND VA    34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   1( 8)

NORFOLK NAS    34  2   5( 7)   3(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   2(15)

NORFOLK VA     34  3   4( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   1(13)   1(14)   1(15)

OCEANA NAS VA  34  3   4( 7)   4(11)   2(13)   1(14)   1(15)   1(16)

ELIZABETH CTY  34  3   4( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   1(13)   X(13)   2(15)

ROCKY MT NC    34  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)

CAPE HATTERAS  34  4   5( 9)   3(12)   2(14)   X(14)   1(15)   1(16)

CHERRY PT NC   34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   1( 9)   1(10)

NEW RIVER NC   34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  3   3( 6)   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)

SURF CITY NC   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
FORECASTER ROBERTS