Tropical Storm KATIA Advisory Sat Sep 09

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE KATIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL132017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 08 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KATIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

LA PESCA MX    34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

TAMPICO MX     34  2   9(11)   2(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

TUXPAN MX      34 13  71(84)   2(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
TUXPAN MX      50  1  32(33)   2(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
TUXPAN MX      64  X  13(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

VERACRUZ MX    34  2  23(25)   2(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
VERACRUZ MX    50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
VERACRUZ MX    64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS
FORECASTER ROBERTS