Tropical Storm MARIA Advisory Thu Sep 28

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM MARIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  45
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0900 UTC WED SEP 27 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MARIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 35.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

NANTUCKET MA   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MONTAUK POINT  34  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ISLIP NY       34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  1   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

NYC CNTRL PARK 34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

NEWARK NJ      34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

TRENTON NJ     34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

NWS EARLE NJ   34  3   4( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

PHILADELPHIA   34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ATLANTIC CITY  34  6   4(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BALTIMORE MD   34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

DOVER DE       34  6   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

ANNAPOLIS MD   34  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

WASHINGTON DC  34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

CAPE HENLOPEN  34  8   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

OCEAN CITY MD  34  9   4(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PAX RIVER NAS  34  6   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)

WALLOPS CDA    34  9   5(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

RICHMOND VA    34  6   3( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

NORFOLK NAS    34  9   5(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

NORFOLK VA     34 10   4(14)   1(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)

OCEANA NAS VA  34 11   5(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

ELIZABETH CTY  34 12   5(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

RALEIGH NC     34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ROCKY MT NC    34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

FAYETTEVILLE   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

CHERRY PT NC   34  8   4(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

NEW RIVER NC   34 10   5(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  8   4(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SURF CITY NC   34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

WILMINGTON NC  34  5   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  5   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

LITTLE RIVER   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG