Tropical Storm TEDDY Advisory Thu Sep 24

ZCZC MIAPWSAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TEDDY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  44
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL202020
0900 UTC WED SEP 23 2020

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE TEDDY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 44.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 62.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  4  10(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

ILE ST PIERRE  34 60   1(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)

BURGEO NFLD    34 90   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)   X(90)
BURGEO NFLD    50 26   2(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)

PTX BASQUES    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
PTX BASQUES    50 71   1(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)   X(72)
PTX BASQUES    64  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

EDDY POINT NS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
EDDY POINT NS  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SYDNEY NS      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SYDNEY NS      64  1   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

SABLE ISLAND   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SABLE ISLAND   50 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)

HALIFAX NS     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
HALIFAX NS     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

YARMOUTH NS    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
YARMOUTH NS    50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

MONCTON NB     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MONCTON NB     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

ST JOHN NB     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ST JOHN NB     50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

EASTPORT ME    34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH