Tropical Storm LIDIA Advisory Sat Sep 02

ZCZC MIAPWSEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017
0900 UTC FRI SEP 01 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SANTA CRUZ IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

S CATALINA IS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SAN DIEGO CA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

TIJUANA        34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

ENSENADA       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

IS GUADALUPE   34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   4( 6)   7(13)   X(13)   X(13)

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X  12(12)  35(47)   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
PUNTA EUGENIA  50  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
PUNTA EUGENIA  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

P ABREOJOS     34  3  67(70)   7(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
P ABREOJOS     50  X  22(22)   6(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
P ABREOJOS     64  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

SAN JOSE CABO  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

LA PAZ         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

LORETO         34 86  11(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
LORETO         50  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

P PENASCO      34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

HERMOSILLO     34  1   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BAHIA KINO     34  1  15(16)   2(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)

GUAYMAS        34  2  14(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

HUATABAMPO     34  7   3(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

LOS MOCHIS     34  6   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

25N 115W       34  1   7( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

30N 120W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

$$
FORECASTER BERG
FORECASTER BERG