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Tropical Storm NORMA Advisory Sun Sep 17

ZCZC MIAPWSEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172017
0900 UTC SAT SEP 16 2017

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

PUNTA EUGENIA  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   2( 6)

P ABREOJOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)   5(14)   3(17)

CABO SAN LUCAS 34  2   8(10)  38(48)  20(68)   6(74)   2(76)   X(76)
CABO SAN LUCAS 50  X   1( 1)   6( 7)  13(20)   4(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CABO SAN LUCAS 64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

SAN JOSE CABO  34  2   6( 8)  26(34)  22(56)   7(63)   3(66)   X(66)
SAN JOSE CABO  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   4(15)   X(15)   X(15)
SAN JOSE CABO  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LA PAZ         34  2   3( 5)  11(16)  22(38)  17(55)   2(57)   1(58)
LA PAZ         50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   1(12)   X(12)
LA PAZ         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

LORETO         34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   5( 8)  13(21)   5(26)   2(28)
LORETO         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

HERMOSILLO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

BAHIA KINO     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   1( 5)

GUAYMAS        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   2( 6)   2( 8)

HUATABAMPO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   5( 8)   3(11)   1(12)

LOS MOCHIS     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   6(13)   3(16)   1(17)

CULIACAN       34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   4(11)   1(12)   X(12)

ISLAS MARIAS   34  2   3( 5)   3( 8)   3(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)

MAZATLAN       34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   3( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   1(10)

SAN BLAS       34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

P VALLARTA     34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

20N 110W       34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
20N 110W       50 80  11(91)   1(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
20N 110W       64 25  32(57)   2(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)   X(59)

ISLA SOCORRO   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ISLA SOCORRO   50  5   1( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

ISLA CLARION   34  2   2( 4)   2( 6)   1( 7)   1( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)

20N 115W       34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   4(12)   2(14)   X(14)

25N 115W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)  10(14)   7(21)   3(24)
25N 115W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA