Tropical Storm CHRIS Advisory Thu Jul 12

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE CHRIS WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032018
0900 UTC WED JUL 11 2018

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHRIS WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
35.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  45(45)   5(50)   X(50)   X(50)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  85(91)   X(91)   X(91)   X(91)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)  48(48)   X(48)   X(48)   X(48)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)  45(45)  28(73)   X(73)   X(73)   X(73)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   7( 7)  21(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)  11(11)   6(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)

PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   6( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)  11(11)   1(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   6( 6)  82(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)  42(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)   X(42)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

HALIFAX NS     34  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

YARMOUTH NS    34  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

$$
FORECASTER AVILA
FORECASTER AVILA