Tropical Storm THREE Advisory Tue Jul 23

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032019
2100 UTC MON JUL 22 2019

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 78.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

NEW RIVER NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SURF CITY NC   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

WILMINGTON NC  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

BALD HEAD ISL  34  X   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

MYRTLE BEACH   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

COCOA BEACH FL 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FT PIERCE FL   34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

W PALM BEACH   34  4   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

GRAND BAHAMA   34  6   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)

$$
FORECASTER PASCH
FORECASTER PASCH