Tropical Storm IMELDA Advisory Wed Sep 18

ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN
SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL112019
1700 UTC TUE SEP 17 2019

AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 95.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

SHREVEPORT LA  34  X   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

FORT POLK LA   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

LAKE CHARLES   34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

CAMERON LA     34  2   1( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

JASPER TX      34  2   2( 4)   3( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

KOUNTZE TX     34  6   5(11)   2(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)

PORT ARTHUR TX 34  7   2( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)

GALVESTON TX   34 30   2(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)

HOUSTON TX     34 24   6(30)   2(32)   1(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
HOUSTON TX     50  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

AUSTIN TX      34  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

FREEPORT TX    34 19   9(28)   1(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)

GFMX 280N 950W 34  4   1( 5)   X( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

HIGH ISLAND TX 34 17   2(19)   1(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)

MATAGORDA TX   34 13   2(15)   1(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)

PORT O CONNOR  34  3   1( 4)   X( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER BROWN
FORECASTER BROWN